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BUCKLE INC (BKE)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2026 delivered modest topline and EPS beats versus consensus: revenue $272.1M vs $268.1M est. (+1.5%) and diluted EPS $0.70 vs $0.693 est. (+1%) driven by merchandise margin strength and slight occupancy leverage . Gross margin expanded 70 bps YoY to 46.7%, while operating margin was 16.0% (down 20 bps YoY) as SG&A rose to 30.7% of sales .
  • Comparable store sales increased 3.0% and online sales grew 4.5% to $46.4M; women’s merchandise sales rose ~10.5% with women’s denim +11%, offset by men’s merchandise (-2.5%) and persistent weakness in footwear (-7%) .
  • Inventory remained well-balanced at $132.4M (+1.3% YoY), with $320M total cash and investments; capex was $11.4M in Q1 as Buckle completed five remodels and plans seven new stores and 16 additional full remodels in the remainder of the year .
  • Catalyst: continued private-label penetration (47.5%) and strong regular-price sell-through in women’s categories support margins; tariff risk managed via vendor sourcing diversification and cost controls, but SG&A inflation remains a watch item for estimate revisions .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Merchandise margins +60 bps YoY; gross margin 46.7% (+70 bps YoY) supported by increased private label mix and strong regular-price sell-through; slight occupancy leverage (+10 bps) aided results .
  • Women’s momentum: merchandise sales +~10.5% YoY with women’s denim +~11% and AUR increases; women’s now ~50% of sales (vs 47% prior year) .
  • Healthy balance sheet and reinvestment: $320M total cash/investments; $11.4M Q1 capex with five full remodels, planning seven new stores and 16 additional full remodels for the rest of the year .

What Went Wrong

  • SG&A deleverage: SG&A at 30.7% of sales (vs 29.8% prior year) on higher incentive comp accruals (+45 bps), health insurance costs (+25 bps), equity comp (+20 bps) and other items (+40 bps), partly offset by lower e-commerce shipping (-25 bps) and marketing (-15 bps) .
  • Men’s softness and category mix headwinds: men’s merchandise -~2.5% YoY; footwear -~7% and ~5.5% of sales, continuing a multi-quarter drag despite modest accessories growth (+~3.5%) .
  • Operating margin dipped to 16.0% (vs 16.2% prior year) despite gross margin gains, reflecting SG&A pressures and only slight occupancy leverage .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026
Revenue ($USD Millions)$262.5 $293.6 $379.2 $272.1
Diluted EPS ($)$0.69 $0.88 $1.53 $0.70
Gross Margin %46.0% 47.7% 52.6% 46.7%
Operating Margin %16.2% 18.6% 25.4% 16.0%
Net Income Margin %13.3% 15.0% 20.4% 12.9%

Segment/Mix

MetricQ1 2025Q1 2026
Women’s share of sales (%)47% 50%
Men’s share of sales (%)53% 50%
Accessories share of sales (%)11% 11%
Footwear share of sales (%)6% 5.5%
Private label penetration (%)46% 47.5%
Women’s denim YoY growth (%)11%
Men’s denim YoY growth (%)-0.5%
Youth: denim/tops share (%)43%/27.5% 43.5%/27%

KPIs and Operating Metrics

MetricQ4 2025Q1 2026
Comparable sales YoY (%)+3.9% +3.0%
Online sales ($USD Millions)$69.7 $46.4
AUR change YoY (%)+1% +1%
ATV change YoY (%)+1% +1.5%
Inventory ($USD Millions)$120.8 $132.4
Cash & Investments ($USD Millions)$318.8 $320.0
Store count441 439
Capex ($USD Millions)$9.8 $11.4
Depreciation ($USD Millions)$6.4 $5.9
Tax rate (% of pretax)23.7% 24.5%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Formal revenue/EPS guidanceFY2025None provided None provided Maintained (no guidance)
Store openingsFY2025Plan 7 new stores “Opening 7 new stores” remainder of year Maintained
Full remodelsFY202518–22 full remodels planned 5 completed Q1; 16 additional planned remainder (total ~21) Maintained (within prior range)
Store closuresFY20251 closed YTD by March; none additional planned Close one youth store as part of remodel Updated (execution detail)
DividendQ2 2025$0.35 per share quarterly dividend (record 4/15; pay 4/29) Set/maintained
Tax rateQ1 2026Actual 24.5% (no forward guidance) n/a

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2025, Q4 2025)Current Period (Q1 2026)Trend
Private label mix drives marginsPrivate label 48.5% in Q3; margin lift from mix Private label 47.5%; key driver of merchandise margin expansion Sustained positive
Digital/e-commerce initiativesReturn to growth Q3; free shipping loyalty in Q4; 12% e-com Q4 Online +4.5%; continued site/marketing execution momentum Improving steadily
Tariffs/macro exposure & sourcingPredominantly China; vendors can shift; focus on quality over lowest cost Managing vendor costs (low to mid-single-digit increases); diversifying sourcing Managed risk; watch
Store remodels/relocationsExtensive relocation program; lift varies (low double digits typical) 5 Q1 remodels; 16 additional planned; 7 new stores Ongoing investment
Women’s performanceWomen’s denim +9% Q3; women’s merch strong Women’s merch +~10.5%, denim +~11%, AUR up Strong momentum
Footwear categoryDown ~17% Q3 Down ~7%; still a drag Weak, improving slightly
Occupancy costsQ3: occupancy +100 bps headwind ; Q4: +30 bps +10 bps leverage as sales outpaced occupancy growth Slightly improving

Management Commentary

  • “Gross margin for the quarter was 46.7%, a 70 basis point increase… the result of a 60 basis point increase in merchandise margins along with 10 basis points of leverage in buying, distribution and occupancy expenses.”
  • “We continued to see nice growth in our private brands across nearly every category… private label represented 47.5% of sales versus 46% in the first quarter of 2024.”
  • “Women’s business continued its strong momentum… women’s denim increased approximately 11%… driven by growth in Buckle Black Label and higher price-point national brands.”
  • “Tariffs: we have vendors… with no increases, others with low to mid-single-digit increases; we’re managing tariffs and product has worked out well.”
  • “Operating margin for the quarter was 16% compared to 16.2% for the first quarter of fiscal 2024… SG&A increase due to incentive compensation, health insurance, equity comp, and other items.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs and sourcing: Management noted vendor cost increases are generally low to mid-single-digits and vendors are sourcing across countries; strong vendor relationships help manage pricing and quality .
  • Merchandise margin drivers: Growth in private label and strong regular-price selling were primary drivers of the 60 bps merchandise margin expansion; footwear mix decline is margin-accretive .
  • Occupancy leverage: Total occupancy costs up ~3.5%; with sales growth, delivered ~10 bps leverage in Q1 .
  • SG&A outlook: SG&A dollars +$5M YoY; store payroll was the largest driver (+$2M) with variable labor tied to topline, plus higher incentive comp, equity comp, and health insurance costs .
  • Balance sheet: Increase in operating lease right-of-use assets driven by new stores and remodels; inventory up 1.3% YoY and cash/investments ~$320M .

Estimates Context

  • Results vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global): BKE modestly beat revenue and EPS.
    • Revenue: Actual $272.1M vs Consensus $268.1M* .
    • EPS (diluted): Actual $0.70 vs Consensus $0.693* .
    • Number of estimates: EPS 2*, Revenue 2*.
MetricQ1 2026 ConsensusQ1 2026 Actual
Revenue ($USD Millions)$268.1*$272.1
Diluted EPS ($)$0.693*$0.70
# of EstimatesEPS: 2*; Revenue: 2*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: Modest beats likely reflect stronger women’s performance and private-label mix; SG&A inflation partially offsets, suggesting limited upward estimate revisions to margins unless cost pressures ease .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Private-label and women’s category strength continue to underpin merchandise margins and gross margin expansion; sustainment of these trends is key to the near-term bull case .
  • SG&A inflation (labor, incentive comp, health insurance, equity comp) is compressing operating margin despite gross margin gains; monitor expense discipline and leverage as comps improve .
  • Footwear remains a drag and mix headwind; continued weakness caps margin upside even as accessories modestly grow .
  • Tariff risk is being actively managed with vendor diversification and strong relationships; near-term impact appears contained to low/mid-single-digit cost changes .
  • Healthy cash/investment position ($320M) and ongoing store remodels/openings provide optionality for reinvestment and shareholder returns (quarterly $0.35 dividend) .
  • Near-term trading setup: modest beat with improving gross margins and strong women’s categories vs SG&A headwinds; watch monthly sales cadence and any tariff/expense commentary for directional cues .
  • Medium-term thesis: execution on digital improvements, continued mix shift to private label, and relocations to outdoor centers should support margins; category breadth and inventory balance reduce downside risk in a choppy consumer backdrop .